Opinion – Let Namibia’s oil discoveries be a blessing

Opinion – Let Namibia’s oil discoveries be a blessing

Namibia is on the verge of a historic transformation with recent offshore oil discoveries.

The country has the potential to become one of Africa’s leading energy producers.

In previous articles, wearing my economist’s hat, I discussed the importance of avoiding the ‘resource curse’ and the Dutch disease.

Many column inches have been filled by other experts, both nationally and internationally, wagging a finger and warning of a potentially grim outlook for Namibia, aside from a fortunate few well-connected individuals.

Other countries can serve as cautionary tales in the handling of their newfound oil riches. I prefer not to name specific countries, as naming and shaming serve no purpose.

Namibia must embrace the challenge of harnessing oil revenues for sustainable development while avoiding the traps of mismanagement and overdependence.

Some countries that discovered oil assumed and anticipated immediate wealth for everyone. Large oil discoveries come with the investment of billions of US dollars from oil majors. Despite the Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in extracting oil resources, a windfall for all did not materialise.

Poverty remained widespread, with citizens feeling they received scant benefits from the petrodollars. There are many reasons for this. Analysing these reasons and understanding how to avoid some of the pitfalls is how Namibia can turn the oil discoveries into a blessing for every Namibian. Weak institutions and governance gaps, along with a lack of strict regulatory and oversight frameworks, create an environment where opaque contracts and limited accountability become common.

It is very encouraging to see Namibia being diligent in establishing its governance structures. The direct engagement that GRN has with oil companies and suppliers to ensure Namibia benefits beyond just tax revenue demonstrates that Namibia is committed to making sure that oil and revenue positively impact every Namibian.

GRN seems to recognise that it has a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to improve the socio-economic status of every Namibian if the oil revenue is managed effectively.

It will be essential to channel the revenue and the local opportunities into creating broad-based improvements in healthcare, education or infrastructure.

Namibia has, in fact, established the Welwitschia Fund, a sovereign wealth fund modelled after successful examples, such as Norway and Botswana’s.

It is particularly encouraging that the Welwitschia Fund has strict withdrawal limits and a strong mandate to invest for the country’s long-term future.

To avoid the Dutch disease risks that several countries have suffered from due to the influx of oil money, it is essential to plan and project sensibly and for the long term.

For Namibia, the lesson is that oil wealth alone does not guarantee prosperity.

Oil revenues must translate into tangible improvements and jobs.

Funds should be earmarked for healthcare, education, and rural development.

By addressing inequality and poverty directly, GRN can ensure that oil wealth benefits all citizens, not just elites or foreign investors. We must not be overly reliant on oil revenues; we need to divest from oil as the revenue starts flowing.

The oil revenues must catalyse, creating an environment that promotes the growth of these other sectors. If global oil prices fall, we must be resilient enough as an economy to weather potential price shocks.

Regrettably, we must address corruption and mismanagement.

There are numerous examples of countries worldwide where billions in oil revenues were siphoned off through patronage networks and poorly managed state enterprises.

Our President Netumbo Netumbo-Ndaitwah has vowed to stamp out corruption and any chance of this happening in Namibia.

This is great, and if we get this right, our country’s oil resources will truly become a blessing. Namibia recognise that oil can be both a blessing and a curse.

We must embrace the principles of Harambee and pull together to ensure that oil will be a blessing for every Namibian.

Namibia’s oil discoveries present a once-in-a-generation opportunity. By building strong institutions, managing revenues transparently, diversifying the economy, and investing in its people, Namibia can chart its own course, continually building on and borrowing from best practices and case studies.

Oil should not define Namibia. It should be its blessing and finance its future.

*John Steytler, founding member and managing director of R&J Steytler