Morna Ikosa
The Brief newspaper on 21 September 2023 reported that Namibia’s economy grew by N$7.3 billion to N$58.6 billion in the second quarter of 2023, which translated to a 3.7% economic growth. Although the statistics are admirable, what do they mean for the layperson?
Namibia is rated as an upper-middle-income country; what does that mean? Is the gross domestic product (GDP) measurement effective in measuring sustainable economic growth and standard of living, especially for Namibia?
Before I answer the questions above, let me break down this economic measurement. GDP is a monetary measure that measures the total value of goods and services at market prices, produced by a country’s economy during a specified period. It is calculated by adding up what everyone earned or spent in a year.
Apart from the GDP, the World Bank also uses the Gross National Income (GNI) per capita. This measurement uses US dollars, converted from local currency, to classify countries into four income categories. These groups range from high, upper and lower middle-income and low-income groups.
According to the World Bank, a country that is classified as low-income has a domestic production of about US$1.14 and less per person per year. For upper middle income-rated countries, it is between US$4.47 and US$13.86. For lower-middle-income countries, it is between US$1.14 and US$4.47. For high-income countries, it is US$13.85 and higher.
Given the fact that these measurements were introduced a century ago, can they still be deemed effective in measuring a country’s economic growth? Over the years, various innovations have emerged, and socioeconomic environments have become complex. Perhaps the measure can still be used for developed countries, but not for developing countries. Developing countries face an array of complex social issues that the GDP does not consider.
Namibia, for example, is rated as an upper-middle-income country, which means people in this country on average make between US$4.47 to US$13.85 per year. Is that what is on the ground in this country? According to the World Economics statistics, Namibia’s Gini Coefficient Index is 64.2% as of 2019. The Gini Index is a measure of how equal a country’s distribution of income is. It is a score between zero and 100, where zero represents perfect equality and 100 represents perfect inequality. If Namibia has a high Gini-coefficient rate but is classified as an upper-middle-income country, does that data correlate?
Prof. Simon Kuznets is known for his views on the ineffectiveness of the usage of GDP to measure the standard of living of people. He believes that the GDP indicators do not factor in the broad elements that impact a society.
For example, the GDP does not factor in the literacy level of the people, and how well people conserve the environment and natural resources. Neither does it determine the health and well-being of the people.
Going back to the article that cited that Namibia’s economy grew by 3.7% this quarter, economists and those responsible for reporting the GDP statistics need to change how they tell the economic growth narrative.
Every stakeholder asks this question; what is in it for me? Or says, so what! A layperson will probably ask, ‘So what?’ if our economy grew by 3.7%? What does that mean for me and my family?
The Namibia Statistics Agency, as one of the custodians of national statistics, needs to find a way to bring more meaning and understanding to these numbers. This will help in garnering buy-in from Namibians and develop a better appreciation for such statistics.
Perhaps there will not be challenges such as those faced by the census team, where numerous people, particularly from the informal areas, did not want to be counted, because they felt their participation in previous censuses did not yield any benefits for them and their situations.
NBC reported that one of the people said they have not tasted the fruits of the government’s planning efforts – and that is why they do not want to be counted.
We need to adopt or find measures that suit our developmental aspirations and context. It is time to assess whether measures such as the GNI or GDP are still relevant for our country. Next week, we further unpack the measurements suitable for sustainable economic growth.
*Morna Ikosa is a seasoned communications and stakeholder engagement consultant with a specific affinity for sustainable development. She is a certified workplace violence and sexual harassment expert. Find her on LinkedIn or email her at micommunicationscc@gmail.com