Customize Consent Preferences

We use cookies to help you navigate efficiently and perform certain functions. You will find detailed information about all cookies under each consent category below.

The cookies that are categorized as "Necessary" are stored on your browser as they are essential for enabling the basic functionalities of the site. ... 

Always Active

Necessary cookies are required to enable the basic features of this site, such as providing secure log-in or adjusting your consent preferences. These cookies do not store any personally identifiable data.

No cookies to display.

Functional cookies help perform certain functionalities like sharing the content of the website on social media platforms, collecting feedback, and other third-party features.

No cookies to display.

Analytical cookies are used to understand how visitors interact with the website. These cookies help provide information on metrics such as the number of visitors, bounce rate, traffic source, etc.

No cookies to display.

Performance cookies are used to understand and analyze the key performance indexes of the website which helps in delivering a better user experience for the visitors.

No cookies to display.

Advertisement cookies are used to provide visitors with customized advertisements based on the pages you visited previously and to analyze the effectiveness of the ad campaigns.

No cookies to display.

Opinion – More than oil and gas will be needed

Home National Opinion – More than oil and gas will be needed
Opinion –  More than oil and gas will be needed

Dr John Steytler

 

It seems as if Namibia has a bit of a spring in its step, some swagger if you will. This could be because winter is behind us, however, I believe there’s another reason, and as an economist first and foremost, this reason pleases me. 

It is the “buzz” surrounding the oil exploration and discoveries that have recently been made in and off the coast of Namibia. As an added bonus, green hydrogen may become a major source of energy and revenue for our sparsely populated nation.
No wonder we are feeling confident, especially after the economic storm that the pandemic brought globally and locally. The effects of which are still felt every single day. 

The oil discoveries, possibly amounting to billions of barrels of oil, have the power to transform our nation.
The keen interest in our capacity to generate green hydrogen has seen pledges and investment potential of billions of Euros from Europe and other parts of the world. This doesn’t mean we will suddenly transform into a fully-fledged oil & gas economy, with skyscrapers popping up and poverty completely eradicated in the next one or two years. We need a concerted and focused development plan.
In fact, our National Development Plans as well as our Harambee Prosperity Plans will act as the blueprint for Namibia to rise and become the regional powerhouse that it can be. We often look at the transformation of Singapore, Qatar, or Dubai. Within a few short decades, the oil-rich nations of Dubai and Qatar transformed from desert nations into thriving and world-leading economic centres. In Singapore’s case, the ministry and its agencies transformed Singapore in just six decades from squatters in slums, to proud homeowners in modern housing estates; from modest shophouses to towering skyscrapers; from dirty, dusty streets to lush gardens and world-renowned skylines. It has taken every citizen and a “can-do” attitude to achieve these economic transformations.
When nation-building, you need to dare to dream and Namibia certainly does that, but always with a healthy dose of realism.
Our NDPs and HPPs show that we have a development roadmap that is bearing fruit and uplifting the nation. Namibia has been on the path of development for more than 30 years since its independence, but we know we have a long way to go. This is where the oil and gas revenue can play a major role, but only if the revenues are distributed and leveraged in such a manner that all parts of society benefit. This requires a focused effort on uplifting the poorest and least educated.
When analysing Namibia’s GDP, we see that about a quarter, or 24.7% of Namibia’s economy is informal and represents approximately US$8 billion of our GDP, according to data from World Economics. We must be realistic and understand that the people operating and employed in the informal economy will not suddenly become part of the formal and tax-paying economy. Only through recruitment, employment, and having them participate in the oil and renewable energy sectors as well as contributory, peripheral, and supporting industries, can we begin to uplift every Namibian.
It is my belief as an economist and proudly Namibian as well, that we have what it takes to develop and become the next booming economy. We need to ensure that we make sure that Namibia’s “rising tide, raises all ships”. Starting with the most marginalised is the only way to create a society that will boom and boom, and not go boom and bust. It will take hard work, we will all need to pull together and we mustn’t become complacent and believe that just because there’s potential oil and green hydrogen revenue, we can sit back and watch Namibia develop by itself. Money is never a magic wand.

* Dr John Steytler wrote this opinion piece in his personal capacity as an economist.

 

 

Photo: Steytler

Caption: Dr John Steytler